DANANG HOUSING (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8900.0

NDN Stock   9,200  300.00  3.16%   
DANANG HOUSING's future price is the expected price of DANANG HOUSING instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DANANG HOUSING performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DANANG HOUSING Backtesting, DANANG HOUSING Valuation, DANANG HOUSING Correlation, DANANG HOUSING Hype Analysis, DANANG HOUSING Volatility, DANANG HOUSING History as well as DANANG HOUSING Performance.
  
Please specify DANANG HOUSING's target price for which you would like DANANG HOUSING odds to be computed.

DANANG HOUSING Target Price Odds to finish over 8900.0

The tendency of DANANG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  8,900  in 90 days
 9,200 90 days 8,900 
about 63.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DANANG HOUSING to stay above  8,900  in 90 days from now is about 63.11 (This DANANG HOUSING probability density function shows the probability of DANANG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DANANG HOUSING price to stay between  8,900  and its current price of 9200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DANANG HOUSING has a beta of 0.28. This indicates as returns on the market go up, DANANG HOUSING average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DANANG HOUSING will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DANANG HOUSING has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   DANANG HOUSING Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DANANG HOUSING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DANANG HOUSING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,1999,2009,201
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,1249,12510,120
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,3709,3719,373
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,4818,9509,419
Details

DANANG HOUSING Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DANANG HOUSING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DANANG HOUSING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DANANG HOUSING, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DANANG HOUSING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
179.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

DANANG HOUSING Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DANANG HOUSING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DANANG HOUSING can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DANANG HOUSING generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

DANANG HOUSING Technical Analysis

DANANG HOUSING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DANANG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DANANG HOUSING. In general, you should focus on analyzing DANANG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DANANG HOUSING Predictive Forecast Models

DANANG HOUSING's time-series forecasting models is one of many DANANG HOUSING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DANANG HOUSING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DANANG HOUSING

Checking the ongoing alerts about DANANG HOUSING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DANANG HOUSING help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DANANG HOUSING generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in DANANG Stock

DANANG HOUSING financial ratios help investors to determine whether DANANG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DANANG with respect to the benefits of owning DANANG HOUSING security.