NEPI Rockcastle (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13922.00
| NRP Stock | 13,922 54.00 0.39% |
NEPI |
NEPI Rockcastle Target Price Odds to finish over 13922.00
The tendency of NEPI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13,922 | 90 days | 13,922 | about 86.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEPI Rockcastle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.96 (This NEPI Rockcastle PLC probability density function shows the probability of NEPI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NEPI Rockcastle PLC has a beta of -0.0862. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NEPI Rockcastle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NEPI Rockcastle PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NEPI Rockcastle PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NEPI Rockcastle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NEPI Rockcastle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEPI Rockcastle PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NEPI Rockcastle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEPI Rockcastle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEPI Rockcastle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEPI Rockcastle PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEPI Rockcastle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 313.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
NEPI Rockcastle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEPI Rockcastle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEPI Rockcastle PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NEPI Rockcastle PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NEPI Rockcastle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NEPI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NEPI Rockcastle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NEPI Rockcastle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 625 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 498.6 M |
NEPI Rockcastle Technical Analysis
NEPI Rockcastle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEPI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEPI Rockcastle PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEPI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NEPI Rockcastle Predictive Forecast Models
NEPI Rockcastle's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEPI Rockcastle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEPI Rockcastle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NEPI Rockcastle PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about NEPI Rockcastle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEPI Rockcastle PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NEPI Rockcastle PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NEPI Stock
NEPI Rockcastle financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEPI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEPI with respect to the benefits of owning NEPI Rockcastle security.