Norstar (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,621

NSTR Stock  ILS 1,520  40.00  2.56%   
Norstar's future price is the expected price of Norstar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Norstar performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Norstar Backtesting, Norstar Valuation, Norstar Correlation, Norstar Hype Analysis, Norstar Volatility, Norstar History as well as Norstar Performance.
  
Please specify Norstar's target price for which you would like Norstar odds to be computed.

Norstar Target Price Odds to finish below 1,621

The tendency of Norstar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,520 90 days 1,520 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norstar to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Norstar probability density function shows the probability of Norstar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Norstar has a beta of 0.39. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Norstar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Norstar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Norstar has an alpha of 0.7877, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Norstar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Norstar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norstar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5171,5201,523
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3681,6541,657
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4891,4921,495
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
998.621,3391,680
Details

Norstar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norstar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norstar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norstar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norstar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
187.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.25

Norstar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norstar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norstar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norstar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Norstar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norstar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norstar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norstar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.6 M

Norstar Technical Analysis

Norstar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norstar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norstar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norstar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Norstar Predictive Forecast Models

Norstar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norstar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norstar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Norstar

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norstar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norstar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Norstar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Norstar Stock

Norstar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Norstar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Norstar with respect to the benefits of owning Norstar security.