Nuh Cimento (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 128.78

NUHCM Stock  TRY 297.50  4.00  1.33%   
Nuh Cimento's future price is the expected price of Nuh Cimento instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuh Cimento Sanayi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuh Cimento Backtesting, Nuh Cimento Valuation, Nuh Cimento Correlation, Nuh Cimento Hype Analysis, Nuh Cimento Volatility, Nuh Cimento History as well as Nuh Cimento Performance.
  
Please specify Nuh Cimento's target price for which you would like Nuh Cimento odds to be computed.

Nuh Cimento Target Price Odds to finish below 128.78

The tendency of Nuh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  128.78  or more in 90 days
 297.50 90 days 128.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuh Cimento to drop to  128.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nuh Cimento Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Nuh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuh Cimento Sanayi price to stay between  128.78  and its current price of 297.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nuh Cimento Sanayi has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuh Cimento are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuh Cimento Sanayi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuh Cimento Sanayi has an alpha of 0.1949, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuh Cimento Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuh Cimento

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuh Cimento Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
294.85297.50300.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
248.77251.42327.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
277.99280.64283.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
294.23316.75339.27
Details

Nuh Cimento Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuh Cimento is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuh Cimento's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuh Cimento Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuh Cimento within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
24.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Nuh Cimento Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuh Cimento for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuh Cimento Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nuh Cimento Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nuh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nuh Cimento's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuh Cimento's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.2 M

Nuh Cimento Technical Analysis

Nuh Cimento's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuh Cimento Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuh Cimento Predictive Forecast Models

Nuh Cimento's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuh Cimento's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuh Cimento's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuh Cimento Sanayi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuh Cimento for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuh Cimento Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Nuh Stock

Nuh Cimento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuh with respect to the benefits of owning Nuh Cimento security.