Oakley Capital (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 490.77
| OCI Stock | 499.00 3.00 0.60% |
Oakley |
Oakley Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 490.77
The tendency of Oakley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 490.77 in 90 days |
| 499.00 | 90 days | 490.77 | about 77.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakley Capital to stay above 490.77 in 90 days from now is about 77.26 (This Oakley Capital Investments probability density function shows the probability of Oakley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oakley Capital Inves price to stay between 490.77 and its current price of 499.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oakley Capital Investments has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oakley Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oakley Capital Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oakley Capital Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oakley Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oakley Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakley Capital Inves. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oakley Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakley Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakley Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakley Capital Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakley Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Oakley Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oakley Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oakley Capital Inves can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oakley Capital Inves generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oakley Capital Inves is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Oakley Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Buying Oakley Capital Investments Insider Purchases 84,616 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat |
Oakley Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oakley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oakley Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oakley Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 207.2 M |
Oakley Capital Technical Analysis
Oakley Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakley Capital Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oakley Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Oakley Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakley Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oakley Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oakley Capital Inves
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oakley Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oakley Capital Inves help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oakley Capital Inves generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oakley Capital Inves is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Oakley Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Buying Oakley Capital Investments Insider Purchases 84,616 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Oakley Stock
Oakley Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oakley Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oakley with respect to the benefits of owning Oakley Capital security.