Origin Property (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.29
| ORI Stock | THB 3.70 0.04 1.07% |
Origin |
Origin Property Target Price Odds to finish over 10.29
The tendency of Origin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.29 or more in 90 days |
| 3.70 | 90 days | 10.29 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Origin Property to move over 10.29 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Origin Property PCL probability density function shows the probability of Origin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Origin Property PCL price to stay between its current price of 3.70 and 10.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Origin Property has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Origin Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Origin Property PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Origin Property PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Origin Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Origin Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Origin Property PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Origin Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Origin Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Origin Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Origin Property PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Origin Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Origin Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Origin Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Origin Property PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Origin Property PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Origin Property PCL has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Origin Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Origin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Origin Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Origin Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Origin Property Technical Analysis
Origin Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Origin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Origin Property PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Origin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Origin Property Predictive Forecast Models
Origin Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Origin Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Origin Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Origin Property PCL
Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Origin Property PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Origin Property PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Origin Property PCL has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Origin Stock
Origin Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Origin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Origin with respect to the benefits of owning Origin Property security.