OSE Pharma (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.94
| OSE Stock | EUR 7.73 0.07 0.90% |
OSE |
OSE Pharma Target Price Odds to finish below 5.94
The tendency of OSE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 5.94 or more in 90 days |
| 7.73 | 90 days | 5.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OSE Pharma to drop to € 5.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This OSE Pharma SA probability density function shows the probability of OSE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OSE Pharma SA price to stay between € 5.94 and its current price of €7.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OSE Pharma has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OSE Pharma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OSE Pharma SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OSE Pharma SA has an alpha of 0.2869, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OSE Pharma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OSE Pharma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OSE Pharma SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OSE Pharma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OSE Pharma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OSE Pharma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OSE Pharma SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OSE Pharma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
OSE Pharma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OSE Pharma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OSE Pharma SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OSE Pharma SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 26.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.31 M. | |
| OSE Pharma SA has accumulated about 33.58 M in cash with (9.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.84. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OSE Pharma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OSE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OSE Pharma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OSE Pharma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.6 M |
OSE Pharma Technical Analysis
OSE Pharma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OSE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OSE Pharma SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing OSE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OSE Pharma Predictive Forecast Models
OSE Pharma's time-series forecasting models is one of many OSE Pharma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OSE Pharma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OSE Pharma SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about OSE Pharma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OSE Pharma SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OSE Pharma SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 26.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.31 M. | |
| OSE Pharma SA has accumulated about 33.58 M in cash with (9.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.84. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in OSE Stock
OSE Pharma financial ratios help investors to determine whether OSE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OSE with respect to the benefits of owning OSE Pharma security.