Plains Gp Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.34

PAGP Stock  USD 19.29  0.21  1.10%   
Plains GP's future price is the expected price of Plains GP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plains GP Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Plains GP Backtesting, Plains GP Valuation, Plains GP Correlation, Plains GP Hype Analysis, Plains GP Volatility, Plains GP History as well as Plains GP Performance.
  
Please specify Plains GP's target price for which you would like Plains GP odds to be computed.

Plains GP Target Price Odds to finish below 17.34

The tendency of Plains Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 17.34  or more in 90 days
 19.29 90 days 17.34 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plains GP to drop to $ 17.34  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Plains GP Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Plains Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plains GP Holdings price to stay between $ 17.34  and its current price of $19.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Plains GP has a beta of 0.42 indicating as returns on the market go up, Plains GP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Plains GP Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Plains GP Holdings has an alpha of 0.0512, implying that it can generate a 0.0512 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Plains GP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plains GP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plains GP Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0019.3720.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6418.0119.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.3718.7420.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0219.2319.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Plains GP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Plains GP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Plains GP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Plains GP Holdings.

Plains GP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plains GP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plains GP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plains GP Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plains GP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Plains GP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plains GP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plains GP Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2024 Plains GP paid $ 0.3175 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Plains GP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plains Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plains GP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plains GP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding195 M
Cash And Short Term Investments453 M

Plains GP Technical Analysis

Plains GP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plains Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plains GP Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plains Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plains GP Predictive Forecast Models

Plains GP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plains GP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plains GP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plains GP Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plains GP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plains GP Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2024 Plains GP paid $ 0.3175 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Additional Tools for Plains Stock Analysis

When running Plains GP's price analysis, check to measure Plains GP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plains GP is operating at the current time. Most of Plains GP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plains GP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plains GP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plains GP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.