Partnera Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.25

PARTNE1 Stock  EUR 0.78  0.02  2.63%   
Partnera Oyj's future price is the expected price of Partnera Oyj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Partnera Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Partnera Oyj Backtesting, Partnera Oyj Valuation, Partnera Oyj Correlation, Partnera Oyj Hype Analysis, Partnera Oyj Volatility, Partnera Oyj History as well as Partnera Oyj Performance.
  
Please specify Partnera Oyj's target price for which you would like Partnera Oyj odds to be computed.

Partnera Oyj Target Price Odds to finish over 4.25

The tendency of Partnera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.25  or more in 90 days
 0.78 90 days 4.25 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Partnera Oyj to move over € 4.25  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Partnera Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Partnera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Partnera Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 0.78  and € 4.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Partnera Oyj has a beta of 0.078 indicating as returns on the market go up, Partnera Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Partnera Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Partnera Oyj has an alpha of 0.2739, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Partnera Oyj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Partnera Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Partnera Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.784.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.674.11
Details

Partnera Oyj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Partnera Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Partnera Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Partnera Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Partnera Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Partnera Oyj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Partnera Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Partnera Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Partnera Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Partnera Oyj had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Partnera Oyj has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Partnera Oyj has accumulated about 23.13 M in cash with (2.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Roughly 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Partnera Oyj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Partnera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Partnera Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Partnera Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.2 M

Partnera Oyj Technical Analysis

Partnera Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Partnera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Partnera Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Partnera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Partnera Oyj Predictive Forecast Models

Partnera Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Partnera Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Partnera Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Partnera Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about Partnera Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Partnera Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Partnera Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Partnera Oyj had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Partnera Oyj has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Partnera Oyj has accumulated about 23.13 M in cash with (2.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Roughly 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Partnera Stock

Partnera Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Partnera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Partnera with respect to the benefits of owning Partnera Oyj security.