Peabody Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.41
| PBE Stock | EUR 19.64 0.99 4.80% |
Peabody |
Peabody Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 13.41
The tendency of Peabody Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 13.41 or more in 90 days |
| 19.64 | 90 days | 13.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peabody Energy to drop to € 13.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Peabody Energy probability density function shows the probability of Peabody Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peabody Energy price to stay between € 13.41 and its current price of €19.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Peabody Energy has a beta of 0.0645 indicating as returns on the market go up, Peabody Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Peabody Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Peabody Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Peabody Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Peabody Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peabody Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Peabody Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peabody Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peabody Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peabody Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peabody Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Peabody Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peabody Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peabody Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Peabody Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Peabody Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peabody Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peabody Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peabody Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.9 M |
Peabody Energy Technical Analysis
Peabody Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peabody Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peabody Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peabody Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Peabody Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Peabody Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Peabody Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peabody Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Peabody Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Peabody Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Peabody Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Peabody Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Peabody Stock
Peabody Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peabody Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peabody with respect to the benefits of owning Peabody Energy security.