Pacific Health Care Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.82

PFHO Stock  USD 0.84  0.06  7.69%   
Pacific Health's future price is the expected price of Pacific Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Health Care performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Health Backtesting, Pacific Health Valuation, Pacific Health Correlation, Pacific Health Hype Analysis, Pacific Health Volatility, Pacific Health History as well as Pacific Health Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Health's target price for which you would like Pacific Health odds to be computed.

Pacific Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.82

The tendency of Pacific OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.82  or more in 90 days
 0.84 90 days 0.82 
about 36.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Health to drop to $ 0.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.02 (This Pacific Health Care probability density function shows the probability of Pacific OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Health Care price to stay between $ 0.82  and its current price of $0.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pacific Health Care has a beta of -0.4 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pacific Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pacific Health Care is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pacific Health Care has an alpha of 0.1015, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pacific Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.843.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.693.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.863.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.760.820.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pacific Health Care.

Pacific Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Health Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.0087

Pacific Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Health Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Health Care has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pacific Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacific OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacific Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M

Pacific Health Technical Analysis

Pacific Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Health Care. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Health Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Health's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Health Care

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Health Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Health Care has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pacific OTC Stock

Pacific Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Health security.