Banco Pine (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 9.19

PINE4 Preferred Stock  BRL 4.49  0.02  0.45%   
Banco Pine's future price is the expected price of Banco Pine instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco Pine SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco Pine Backtesting, Banco Pine Valuation, Banco Pine Correlation, Banco Pine Hype Analysis, Banco Pine Volatility, Banco Pine History as well as Banco Pine Performance.
  
Please specify Banco Pine's target price for which you would like Banco Pine odds to be computed.

Banco Pine Target Price Odds to finish over 9.19

The tendency of Banco Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over R$ 9.19  or more in 90 days
 4.49 90 days 9.19 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Pine to move over R$ 9.19  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Banco Pine SA probability density function shows the probability of Banco Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Pine SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 4.49  and R$ 9.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco Pine SA has a beta of -0.23 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Banco Pine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Banco Pine SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Banco Pine SA has an alpha of 0.0211, implying that it can generate a 0.0211 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Banco Pine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco Pine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Pine SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.894.497.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.574.176.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.664.256.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.384.584.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Pine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Pine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Pine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Pine SA.

Banco Pine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Pine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Pine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Pine SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Pine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Banco Pine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Pine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Pine SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Pine SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Banco Pine SA has accumulated about 917.87 M in cash with (127.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.57, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Banco Pine Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Pine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Pine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding186.4 M

Banco Pine Technical Analysis

Banco Pine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Pine SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco Pine Predictive Forecast Models

Banco Pine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Pine's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Pine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco Pine SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Pine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Pine SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Pine SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Banco Pine SA has accumulated about 917.87 M in cash with (127.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.57, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Banco Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Banco Pine's price analysis, check to measure Banco Pine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Pine is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Pine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Pine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Pine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Pine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.