Packaging Corp Of Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 242.91
| PKG Stock | USD 238.10 0.99 0.41% |
Packaging |
Packaging Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 242.91
The tendency of Packaging Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 242.91 or more in 90 days |
| 238.10 | 90 days | 242.91 | about 12.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Packaging Corp to move over $ 242.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.12 (This Packaging Corp of probability density function shows the probability of Packaging Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Packaging Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 238.10 and $ 242.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.08 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Packaging Corp has a beta of 0.67 indicating as returns on the market go up, Packaging Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Packaging Corp of will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Packaging Corp of has an alpha of 0.1729, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Packaging Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Packaging Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Packaging Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Packaging Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Packaging Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Packaging Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Packaging Corp of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Packaging Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Packaging Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Packaging Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Packaging Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Packaging Corp of America Announces Upcoming Earnings Call for Q4 and Full Year 2024 Results |
Packaging Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Packaging Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Packaging Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Packaging Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Packaging Corp Technical Analysis
Packaging Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Packaging Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Packaging Corp of. In general, you should focus on analyzing Packaging Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Packaging Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Packaging Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Packaging Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Packaging Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Packaging Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Packaging Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Packaging Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Packaging Corp of America Announces Upcoming Earnings Call for Q4 and Full Year 2024 Results |
Check out Packaging Corp Backtesting, Packaging Corp Valuation, Packaging Corp Correlation, Packaging Corp Hype Analysis, Packaging Corp Volatility, Packaging Corp History as well as Packaging Corp Performance. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Packaging Corp. If investors know Packaging will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Packaging Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.3 | Dividend Share 5 | Earnings Share 8.61 | Revenue Per Share 91.752 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 |
The market value of Packaging Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Packaging that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Packaging Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Packaging Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Packaging Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Packaging Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Packaging Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Packaging Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Packaging Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.