Panca Mitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.10
| PMMP Stock | IDR 100.00 2.00 2.04% |
Panca |
Panca Mitra Target Price Odds to finish below 90.10
The tendency of Panca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 90.10 or more in 90 days |
| 100.00 | 90 days | 90.10 | about 6.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panca Mitra to drop to 90.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.52 (This Panca Mitra Multiperdana probability density function shows the probability of Panca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panca Mitra Multiperdana price to stay between 90.10 and its current price of 100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panca Mitra Multiperdana has a beta of -0.63 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Panca Mitra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Panca Mitra Multiperdana is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Panca Mitra Multiperdana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Panca Mitra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Panca Mitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panca Mitra Multiperdana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Panca Mitra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panca Mitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panca Mitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Panca Mitra Multiperdana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panca Mitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 31.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Panca Mitra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panca Mitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panca Mitra Multiperdana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Panca Mitra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Panca Mitra has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Panca Mitra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panca Mitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panca Mitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
Panca Mitra Technical Analysis
Panca Mitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Panca Mitra Multiperdana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Panca Mitra Predictive Forecast Models
Panca Mitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Panca Mitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panca Mitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Panca Mitra Multiperdana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Panca Mitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panca Mitra Multiperdana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Panca Mitra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Panca Mitra has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Panca Stock
Panca Mitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panca with respect to the benefits of owning Panca Mitra security.