Post (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,687

PTC Stock   4,570  120.00  2.56%   
Post's future price is the expected price of Post instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Post and Telecommunications performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Post Backtesting, Post Valuation, Post Correlation, Post Hype Analysis, Post Volatility, Post History as well as Post Performance.
  
Please specify Post's target price for which you would like Post odds to be computed.

Post Target Price Odds to finish over 4,687

The tendency of Post Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,570 90 days 4,570 
about 88.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Post to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.08 (This Post and Telecommunications probability density function shows the probability of Post Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Post and Telecommunications has a beta of -0.13 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Post are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Post and Telecommunications is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Post and Telecommunications has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Post Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Post

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Post and Telecommuni. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,5684,5704,572
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,9233,9255,027
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,6104,6134,615
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,5004,6644,828
Details

Post Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Post is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Post's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Post and Telecommunications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Post within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
186.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Post Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Post for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Post and Telecommuni can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Post and Telecommuni generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Post Technical Analysis

Post's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Post Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Post and Telecommunications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Post Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Post Predictive Forecast Models

Post's time-series forecasting models is one of many Post's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Post's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Post and Telecommuni

Checking the ongoing alerts about Post for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Post and Telecommuni help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Post and Telecommuni generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Post Stock

Post financial ratios help investors to determine whether Post Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Post with respect to the benefits of owning Post security.