Pacific Capital Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.87
| PTXFX Fund | USD 9.70 0.01 0.10% |
Pacific |
Pacific Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 9.87
The tendency of Pacific Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.87 or more in 90 days |
| 9.70 | 90 days | 9.87 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Capital to move over $ 9.87 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pacific Capital Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Capital Tax price to stay between its current price of $ 9.70 and $ 9.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pacific Capital Tax Free has a beta of -0.0685 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pacific Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pacific Capital Tax Free is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pacific Capital Tax Free has an alpha of 0.0011, implying that it can generate a 0.001113 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pacific Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pacific Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Capital Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pacific Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Capital Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.71 |
Pacific Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Capital Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Pacific Capital Tax maintains about 99.38% of its assets in bonds |
Pacific Capital Technical Analysis
Pacific Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Capital Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pacific Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Pacific Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pacific Capital Tax
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Capital Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Pacific Capital Tax maintains about 99.38% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Pacific Mutual Fund
Pacific Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Capital security.
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