Quest For (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.40

QFG Stock  EUR 3.90  0.06  1.56%   
Quest For's future price is the expected price of Quest For instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quest For Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quest For Backtesting, Quest For Valuation, Quest For Correlation, Quest For Hype Analysis, Quest For Volatility, Quest For History as well as Quest For Performance.
  
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Quest For Target Price Odds to finish below 2.40

The tendency of Quest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 2.40  or more in 90 days
 3.90 90 days 2.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quest For to drop to € 2.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Quest For Growth probability density function shows the probability of Quest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quest For Growth price to stay between € 2.40  and its current price of €3.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Quest For Growth has a beta of -0.0492 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Quest For are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Quest For Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Quest For Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Quest For Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quest For

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quest For Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.833.914.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.964.045.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.873.955.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.743.994.24
Details

Quest For Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quest For is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quest For's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quest For Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quest For within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Quest For Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quest For for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quest For Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quest For Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Quest For Growth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Quest For Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quest For's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quest For's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.3 M

Quest For Technical Analysis

Quest For's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quest For Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quest For Predictive Forecast Models

Quest For's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quest For's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quest For's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quest For Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quest For for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quest For Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quest For Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Quest For Growth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Quest Stock Analysis

When running Quest For's price analysis, check to measure Quest For's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quest For is operating at the current time. Most of Quest For's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quest For's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quest For's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quest For to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.