Rogers Communications Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.32
| RCI-A Stock | CAD 47.68 0.94 1.93% |
Rogers |
Rogers Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 55.32
The tendency of Rogers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 55.32 after 90 days |
| 47.68 | 90 days | 55.32 | about 65.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rogers Communications to stay under C$ 55.32 after 90 days from now is about 65.21 (This Rogers Communications probability density function shows the probability of Rogers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rogers Communications price to stay between its current price of C$ 47.68 and C$ 55.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rogers Communications has a beta of 0.48 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rogers Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rogers Communications will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rogers Communications has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rogers Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rogers Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rogers Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rogers Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rogers Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rogers Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rogers Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rogers Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Rogers Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rogers Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rogers Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rogers Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rogers Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Rogers Communications has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Rogers Communications has accumulated 45.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 224.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Rogers Communications has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rogers Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rogers Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rogers Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rogers to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rogers Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 98.0% of Rogers Communications outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Barclays PLC Cuts Stock Position in Rogers Communications Inc. - MarketBeat |
Rogers Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rogers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rogers Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rogers Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 524 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800 M |
Rogers Communications Technical Analysis
Rogers Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rogers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rogers Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rogers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rogers Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Rogers Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rogers Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rogers Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rogers Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rogers Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rogers Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rogers Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rogers Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Rogers Communications has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Rogers Communications has accumulated 45.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 224.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Rogers Communications has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rogers Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rogers Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rogers Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rogers to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rogers Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 98.0% of Rogers Communications outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Barclays PLC Cuts Stock Position in Rogers Communications Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Rogers Stock Analysis
When running Rogers Communications' price analysis, check to measure Rogers Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rogers Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Rogers Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rogers Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rogers Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rogers Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.