Reconnaissance Energy Africa Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 11.98
| RECAF Stock | USD 0.71 0.04 5.33% |
Reconnaissance |
Reconnaissance Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 11.98
The tendency of Reconnaissance OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.98 or more in 90 days |
| 0.71 | 90 days | 11.98 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reconnaissance Energy to move over $ 11.98 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Reconnaissance Energy Africa probability density function shows the probability of Reconnaissance OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reconnaissance Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.71 and $ 11.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Reconnaissance Energy has a beta of 0.64 indicating as returns on the market go up, Reconnaissance Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Reconnaissance Energy Africa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Reconnaissance Energy Africa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Reconnaissance Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Reconnaissance Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reconnaissance Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Reconnaissance Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reconnaissance Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reconnaissance Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reconnaissance Energy Africa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reconnaissance Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Reconnaissance Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reconnaissance Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reconnaissance Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Reconnaissance Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Reconnaissance Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Reconnaissance Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Reconnaissance Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (263.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 195.99 K. | |
| Reconnaissance Energy Africa has accumulated about 92.51 M in cash with (11.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. |
Reconnaissance Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reconnaissance OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reconnaissance Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reconnaissance Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 189.2 M |
Reconnaissance Energy Technical Analysis
Reconnaissance Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reconnaissance OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reconnaissance Energy Africa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reconnaissance OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Reconnaissance Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Reconnaissance Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reconnaissance Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reconnaissance Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Reconnaissance Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Reconnaissance Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reconnaissance Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Reconnaissance Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Reconnaissance Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Reconnaissance Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Reconnaissance Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (263.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 195.99 K. | |
| Reconnaissance Energy Africa has accumulated about 92.51 M in cash with (11.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. |
Other Information on Investing in Reconnaissance OTC Stock
Reconnaissance Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reconnaissance OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reconnaissance with respect to the benefits of owning Reconnaissance Energy security.