Rural Funds (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.74
| RFF Stock | 1.77 0.02 1.14% |
Rural |
Rural Funds Target Price Odds to finish over 1.74
The tendency of Rural Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1.74 in 90 days |
| 1.77 | 90 days | 1.74 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rural Funds to stay above 1.74 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Rural Funds Group probability density function shows the probability of Rural Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rural Funds Group price to stay between 1.74 and its current price of 1.77 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rural Funds has a beta of 0.0575 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rural Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rural Funds Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rural Funds Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rural Funds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rural Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rural Funds Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rural Funds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rural Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rural Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rural Funds Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rural Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Rural Funds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rural Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rural Funds Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rural Funds Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rural Funds Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Rural Funds Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy these ASX dividend stocks for 20 percent to 40 percent returns - MSN |
Rural Funds Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rural Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rural Funds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rural Funds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 386.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 M |
Rural Funds Technical Analysis
Rural Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rural Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rural Funds Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rural Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rural Funds Predictive Forecast Models
Rural Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rural Funds' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rural Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rural Funds Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rural Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rural Funds Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rural Funds Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rural Funds Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Rural Funds Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy these ASX dividend stocks for 20 percent to 40 percent returns - MSN |
Additional Tools for Rural Stock Analysis
When running Rural Funds' price analysis, check to measure Rural Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rural Funds is operating at the current time. Most of Rural Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rural Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rural Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rural Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.