Optiva Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.12
| RKNEF Stock | USD 2.15 2.35 52.22% |
Optiva |
Optiva Target Price Odds to finish below 0.12
The tendency of Optiva Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.12 or more in 90 days |
| 2.15 | 90 days | 0.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Optiva to drop to $ 0.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Optiva Inc probability density function shows the probability of Optiva Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Optiva Inc price to stay between $ 0.12 and its current price of $2.15 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Optiva has a beta of 0.72 indicating as returns on the market go up, Optiva average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Optiva Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Optiva Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Optiva Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Optiva
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optiva Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optiva's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Optiva Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Optiva is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Optiva's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Optiva Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Optiva within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Optiva Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Optiva for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Optiva Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Optiva Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Optiva Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Optiva Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Optiva Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Optiva Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Optiva's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Optiva's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M |
Optiva Technical Analysis
Optiva's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Optiva Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Optiva Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Optiva Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Optiva Predictive Forecast Models
Optiva's time-series forecasting models is one of many Optiva's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Optiva's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Optiva Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Optiva for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Optiva Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Optiva Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Optiva Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Optiva Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Optiva Pink Sheet
Optiva financial ratios help investors to determine whether Optiva Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Optiva with respect to the benefits of owning Optiva security.