Rocky Mountain Chocolate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.86
| RMCF Stock | USD 2.73 0.03 1.09% |
Rocky |
Rocky Mountain Target Price Odds to finish over 17.86
The tendency of Rocky Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.86 or more in 90 days |
| 2.73 | 90 days | 17.86 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rocky Mountain to move over $ 17.86 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Rocky Mountain Chocolate probability density function shows the probability of Rocky Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rocky Mountain Chocolate price to stay between its current price of $ 2.73 and $ 17.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rocky Mountain has a beta of 0.24 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rocky Mountain average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rocky Mountain Chocolate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rocky Mountain Chocolate has an alpha of 0.7211, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rocky Mountain Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rocky Mountain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rocky Mountain Chocolate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rocky Mountain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rocky Mountain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rocky Mountain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rocky Mountain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rocky Mountain Chocolate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rocky Mountain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Rocky Mountain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rocky Mountain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rocky Mountain Chocolate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rocky Mountain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.26 M. | |
| Rocky Mountain Chocolate currently holds about 5.4 M in cash with (2.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Appoints Major Shareholder to Board in Strategic Refresh RMCF Stock News - StockTitan |
Rocky Mountain Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rocky Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rocky Mountain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rocky Mountain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Rocky Mountain Technical Analysis
Rocky Mountain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rocky Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rocky Mountain Chocolate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rocky Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rocky Mountain Predictive Forecast Models
Rocky Mountain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rocky Mountain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rocky Mountain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rocky Mountain Chocolate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rocky Mountain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rocky Mountain Chocolate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rocky Mountain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.26 M. | |
| Rocky Mountain Chocolate currently holds about 5.4 M in cash with (2.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Appoints Major Shareholder to Board in Strategic Refresh RMCF Stock News - StockTitan |
Check out Rocky Mountain Backtesting, Rocky Mountain Valuation, Rocky Mountain Correlation, Rocky Mountain Hype Analysis, Rocky Mountain Volatility, Rocky Mountain History as well as Rocky Mountain Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rocky Mountain. If investors know Rocky will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rocky Mountain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share 4.331 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets (0.11) |
The market value of Rocky Mountain Chocolate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rocky that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rocky Mountain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rocky Mountain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rocky Mountain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rocky Mountain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rocky Mountain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rocky Mountain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rocky Mountain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.