Ranplan (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.46

RPLAN Stock  SEK 1.40  0.05  3.45%   
Ranplan's future price is the expected price of Ranplan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ranplan Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ranplan Backtesting, Ranplan Valuation, Ranplan Correlation, Ranplan Hype Analysis, Ranplan Volatility, Ranplan History as well as Ranplan Performance.
  
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Ranplan Target Price Odds to finish below 1.46

The tendency of Ranplan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 1.46  after 90 days
 1.40 90 days 1.46 
about 82.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ranplan to stay under kr 1.46  after 90 days from now is about 82.38 (This Ranplan Group probability density function shows the probability of Ranplan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ranplan Group price to stay between its current price of kr 1.40  and kr 1.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ranplan has a beta of 0.12 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ranplan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ranplan Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ranplan Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ranplan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ranplan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ranplan Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.651.402.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.661.412.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.641.392.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.401.441.48
Details

Ranplan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ranplan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ranplan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ranplan Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ranplan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Ranplan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ranplan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ranplan Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ranplan Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ranplan Group may become a speculative penny stock
Ranplan Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.51 M.
Ranplan Group has accumulated about 17.41 M in cash with (26.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74.
Roughly 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ranplan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ranplan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ranplan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ranplan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.4 M

Ranplan Technical Analysis

Ranplan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ranplan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ranplan Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ranplan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ranplan Predictive Forecast Models

Ranplan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ranplan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ranplan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ranplan Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ranplan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ranplan Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ranplan Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ranplan Group may become a speculative penny stock
Ranplan Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.51 M.
Ranplan Group has accumulated about 17.41 M in cash with (26.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74.
Roughly 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Ranplan Stock Analysis

When running Ranplan's price analysis, check to measure Ranplan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ranplan is operating at the current time. Most of Ranplan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ranplan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ranplan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ranplan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.