PEPKOR (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.73

S1VA Stock  EUR 1.59  0.13  8.90%   
PEPKOR's future price is the expected price of PEPKOR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PEPKOR LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PEPKOR Backtesting, PEPKOR Valuation, PEPKOR Correlation, PEPKOR Hype Analysis, PEPKOR Volatility, PEPKOR History as well as PEPKOR Performance.
  
Please specify PEPKOR's target price for which you would like PEPKOR odds to be computed.

PEPKOR Target Price Odds to finish over 1.73

The tendency of PEPKOR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 1.73  or more in 90 days
 1.59 90 days 1.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PEPKOR to move over € 1.73  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PEPKOR LTD probability density function shows the probability of PEPKOR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PEPKOR LTD price to stay between its current price of € 1.59  and € 1.73  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PEPKOR has a beta of 0.46. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PEPKOR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PEPKOR LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PEPKOR LTD has an alpha of 0.5122, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PEPKOR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PEPKOR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PEPKOR LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.593.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.734.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.483.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.411.541.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PEPKOR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PEPKOR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PEPKOR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PEPKOR LTD.

PEPKOR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PEPKOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PEPKOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PEPKOR LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PEPKOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

PEPKOR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PEPKOR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PEPKOR LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEPKOR LTD may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 81.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.83 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.67 B.
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PEPKOR Technical Analysis

PEPKOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PEPKOR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PEPKOR LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing PEPKOR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PEPKOR Predictive Forecast Models

PEPKOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many PEPKOR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PEPKOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PEPKOR LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about PEPKOR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PEPKOR LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEPKOR LTD may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 81.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.83 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.67 B.
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in PEPKOR Stock

PEPKOR financial ratios help investors to determine whether PEPKOR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PEPKOR with respect to the benefits of owning PEPKOR security.