Microlise Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.46
| SAAS Stock | 101.50 1.00 0.98% |
Microlise |
Microlise Group Target Price Odds to finish below 98.46
The tendency of Microlise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 98.46 or more in 90 days |
| 101.50 | 90 days | 98.46 | about 5.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Microlise Group to drop to 98.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.77 (This Microlise Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Microlise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Microlise Group PLC price to stay between 98.46 and its current price of 101.5 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Microlise Group has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Microlise Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Microlise Group PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Microlise Group PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Microlise Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Microlise Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microlise Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Microlise Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Microlise Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Microlise Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Microlise Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Microlise Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Microlise Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Microlise Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Microlise Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Microlise Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Microlise Group PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 7th of November 2024 Microlise Group paid 0.0057 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Microlise Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Microlise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Microlise Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Microlise Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.9 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.02 | |
| Shares Float | 41.3 M |
Microlise Group Technical Analysis
Microlise Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Microlise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Microlise Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Microlise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Microlise Group Predictive Forecast Models
Microlise Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Microlise Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Microlise Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Microlise Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Microlise Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Microlise Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Microlise Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Microlise Group PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 7th of November 2024 Microlise Group paid 0.0057 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for Microlise Stock Analysis
When running Microlise Group's price analysis, check to measure Microlise Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microlise Group is operating at the current time. Most of Microlise Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microlise Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microlise Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microlise Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.