Sabuy Technology (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.81

SABUY Stock  THB 0.45  0.01  2.17%   
Sabuy Technology's future price is the expected price of Sabuy Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sabuy Technology Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sabuy Technology Backtesting, Sabuy Technology Valuation, Sabuy Technology Correlation, Sabuy Technology Hype Analysis, Sabuy Technology Volatility, Sabuy Technology History as well as Sabuy Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Sabuy Technology's target price for which you would like Sabuy Technology odds to be computed.

Sabuy Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 0.81

The tendency of Sabuy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.81  after 90 days
 0.45 90 days 0.81 
about 74.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sabuy Technology to stay under  0.81  after 90 days from now is about 74.05 (This Sabuy Technology Public probability density function shows the probability of Sabuy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sabuy Technology Public price to stay between its current price of  0.45  and  0.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sabuy Technology has a beta of 0.0164. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sabuy Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sabuy Technology Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sabuy Technology Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sabuy Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sabuy Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sabuy Technology Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sabuy Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.465.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.445.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.525.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.330.610.89
Details

Sabuy Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sabuy Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sabuy Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sabuy Technology Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sabuy Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Sabuy Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sabuy Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sabuy Technology Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sabuy Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sabuy Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sabuy Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sabuy Technology Public has accumulated 385.76 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Sabuy Technology Public has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sabuy Technology until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sabuy Technology's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sabuy Technology Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sabuy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sabuy Technology's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 62.0% of Sabuy Technology outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sabuy Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sabuy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sabuy Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sabuy Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Sabuy Technology Technical Analysis

Sabuy Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sabuy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sabuy Technology Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sabuy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sabuy Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Sabuy Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sabuy Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sabuy Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sabuy Technology Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sabuy Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sabuy Technology Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sabuy Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sabuy Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sabuy Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sabuy Technology Public has accumulated 385.76 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Sabuy Technology Public has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sabuy Technology until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sabuy Technology's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sabuy Technology Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sabuy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sabuy Technology's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 62.0% of Sabuy Technology outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sabuy Stock

Sabuy Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sabuy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sabuy with respect to the benefits of owning Sabuy Technology security.