Srisawad Power (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.75
| SAWAD Stock | THB 40.75 0.75 1.88% |
Srisawad |
Srisawad Power Target Price Odds to finish over 40.75
The tendency of Srisawad Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 40.75 | 90 days | 40.75 | about 48.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Srisawad Power to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.22 (This Srisawad Power 1979 probability density function shows the probability of Srisawad Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Srisawad Power 1979 has a beta of -0.34. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Srisawad Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Srisawad Power 1979 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Srisawad Power 1979 has an alpha of 0.1511, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Srisawad Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Srisawad Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Srisawad Power 1979. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Srisawad Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Srisawad Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Srisawad Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Srisawad Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Srisawad Power 1979, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Srisawad Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0094 |
Srisawad Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Srisawad Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Srisawad Power 1979 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Srisawad Power 1979 is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Srisawad Power 1979 appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Srisawad Power 1979 has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Srisawad Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Srisawad Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Srisawad Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Srisawad Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.3 B |
Srisawad Power Technical Analysis
Srisawad Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Srisawad Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Srisawad Power 1979. In general, you should focus on analyzing Srisawad Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Srisawad Power Predictive Forecast Models
Srisawad Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Srisawad Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Srisawad Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Srisawad Power 1979
Checking the ongoing alerts about Srisawad Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Srisawad Power 1979 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Srisawad Power 1979 is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Srisawad Power 1979 appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Srisawad Power 1979 has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Srisawad Stock
Srisawad Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Srisawad Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Srisawad with respect to the benefits of owning Srisawad Power security.