SCG Construction (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 65364.09

SCG Stock   65,200  100.00  0.15%   
SCG Construction's future price is the expected price of SCG Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SCG Construction JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SCG Construction Backtesting, SCG Construction Valuation, SCG Construction Correlation, SCG Construction Hype Analysis, SCG Construction Volatility, SCG Construction History as well as SCG Construction Performance.
  
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SCG Construction Target Price Odds to finish over 65364.09

The tendency of SCG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  65,364  or more in 90 days
 65,200 90 days 65,364 
about 52.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCG Construction to move over  65,364  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.2 (This SCG Construction JSC probability density function shows the probability of SCG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCG Construction JSC price to stay between its current price of  65,200  and  65,364  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SCG Construction has a beta of 0.0275. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SCG Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SCG Construction JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SCG Construction JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SCG Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SCG Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCG Construction JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65,20065,20065,200
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63,24463,24471,720
Details

SCG Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCG Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCG Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCG Construction JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCG Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
348.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

SCG Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCG Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCG Construction JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SCG Construction JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SCG Construction Technical Analysis

SCG Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCG Construction JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SCG Construction Predictive Forecast Models

SCG Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCG Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCG Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SCG Construction JSC

Checking the ongoing alerts about SCG Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCG Construction JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SCG Construction JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SCG Stock

SCG Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCG with respect to the benefits of owning SCG Construction security.