Seach Medical (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 186.43
| SEMG Stock | ILA 312.40 1.90 0.60% |
Seach |
Seach Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 186.43
The tendency of Seach Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 186.43 or more in 90 days |
| 312.40 | 90 days | 186.43 | about 12.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seach Medical to drop to 186.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.35 (This Seach Medical Group probability density function shows the probability of Seach Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seach Medical Group price to stay between 186.43 and its current price of 312.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seach Medical Group has a beta of -0.57. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seach Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seach Medical Group is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Seach Medical Group has an alpha of 1.2036, implying that it can generate a 1.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Seach Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seach Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seach Medical Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seach Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seach Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seach Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seach Medical Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seach Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 46.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.36 |
Seach Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seach Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seach Medical Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seach is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| Seach Medical Group has accumulated about 22.01 M in cash with (8.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Seach Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seach Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seach Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seach Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 9.8 M |
Seach Medical Technical Analysis
Seach Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seach Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seach Medical Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seach Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seach Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Seach Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seach Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seach Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seach Medical Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seach Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seach Medical Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seach is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| Seach Medical Group has accumulated about 22.01 M in cash with (8.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Seach Stock
Seach Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seach Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seach with respect to the benefits of owning Seach Medical security.