Samfine Creation Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.13
| SFHG Stock | 1.17 0.09 7.14% |
Samfine |
Samfine Creation Target Price Odds to finish below 11.13
The tendency of Samfine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 11.13 after 90 days |
| 1.17 | 90 days | 11.13 | about 46.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samfine Creation to stay under 11.13 after 90 days from now is about 46.6 (This Samfine Creation Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Samfine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samfine Creation Holdings price to stay between its current price of 1.17 and 11.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.51 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Samfine Creation has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Samfine Creation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Samfine Creation Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Samfine Creation Holdings has an alpha of 0.1887, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Samfine Creation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Samfine Creation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samfine Creation Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Samfine Creation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samfine Creation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samfine Creation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samfine Creation Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samfine Creation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Samfine Creation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samfine Creation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samfine Creation Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Samfine Creation had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Samfine Creation may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Samfine Creation has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks to Watch A week of resurgence following election results - The News Record |
Samfine Creation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Samfine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Samfine Creation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Samfine Creation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 1.6 M |
Samfine Creation Technical Analysis
Samfine Creation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samfine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samfine Creation Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samfine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Samfine Creation Predictive Forecast Models
Samfine Creation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Samfine Creation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samfine Creation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Samfine Creation Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Samfine Creation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samfine Creation Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Samfine Creation had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Samfine Creation may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Samfine Creation has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks to Watch A week of resurgence following election results - The News Record |
Check out Samfine Creation Backtesting, Samfine Creation Valuation, Samfine Creation Correlation, Samfine Creation Hype Analysis, Samfine Creation Volatility, Samfine Creation History as well as Samfine Creation Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Business Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Samfine Creation. If investors know Samfine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Samfine Creation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Samfine Creation Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Samfine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Samfine Creation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Samfine Creation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Samfine Creation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Samfine Creation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Samfine Creation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Samfine Creation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Samfine Creation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.