Invesco Physical (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 252.77

SGLD Stock   252.77  2.91  1.16%   
Invesco Physical's future price is the expected price of Invesco Physical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Physical Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Physical Backtesting, Invesco Physical Valuation, Invesco Physical Correlation, Invesco Physical Hype Analysis, Invesco Physical Volatility, Invesco Physical History as well as Invesco Physical Performance.
  
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Invesco Physical Target Price Odds to finish over 252.77

The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 252.77 90 days 252.77 
about 80.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Physical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.78 (This Invesco Physical Gold probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invesco Physical Gold has a beta of -0.0054. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Invesco Physical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Invesco Physical Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Invesco Physical Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Invesco Physical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Physical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Physical Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
251.85252.77253.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
221.21222.13278.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
242.39243.31244.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
250.35255.23260.11
Details

Invesco Physical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Physical Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0028
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0054
σ
Overall volatility
4.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Invesco Physical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Physical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Physical Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Physical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Invesco Physical Technical Analysis

Invesco Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Physical Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Physical Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Physical Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Physical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Physical Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Physical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis

When running Invesco Physical's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Physical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Physical is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Physical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Physical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Physical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Physical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.