Sillo Maritime (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,219

SHIP Stock  IDR 1,035  15.00  1.43%   
Sillo Maritime's future price is the expected price of Sillo Maritime instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sillo Maritime Perdana performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sillo Maritime Backtesting, Sillo Maritime Valuation, Sillo Maritime Correlation, Sillo Maritime Hype Analysis, Sillo Maritime Volatility, Sillo Maritime History as well as Sillo Maritime Performance.
  
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Sillo Maritime Target Price Odds to finish below 1,219

The tendency of Sillo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,035 90 days 1,035 
roughly 2.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sillo Maritime to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.69 (This Sillo Maritime Perdana probability density function shows the probability of Sillo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sillo Maritime has a beta of 0.93. This usually implies Sillo Maritime Perdana market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Sillo Maritime is expected to follow. Additionally Sillo Maritime Perdana has an alpha of 0.0405, implying that it can generate a 0.0405 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sillo Maritime Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sillo Maritime

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sillo Maritime Perdana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0311,0351,039
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
989.98993.601,138
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
950.40954.02957.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0761,1761,275
Details

Sillo Maritime Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sillo Maritime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sillo Maritime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sillo Maritime Perdana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sillo Maritime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
105.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Sillo Maritime Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sillo Maritime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sillo Maritime Perdana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sillo Maritime generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sillo Maritime has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sillo Maritime Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sillo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sillo Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sillo Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments24.2 M

Sillo Maritime Technical Analysis

Sillo Maritime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sillo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sillo Maritime Perdana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sillo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sillo Maritime Predictive Forecast Models

Sillo Maritime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sillo Maritime's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sillo Maritime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sillo Maritime Perdana

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sillo Maritime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sillo Maritime Perdana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sillo Maritime generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sillo Maritime has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sillo Stock

Sillo Maritime financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sillo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sillo with respect to the benefits of owning Sillo Maritime security.