Sahamitr Pressure (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.15

SMPC Stock  THB 9.20  0.05  0.54%   
Sahamitr Pressure's future price is the expected price of Sahamitr Pressure instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sahamitr Pressure Container performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sahamitr Pressure Backtesting, Sahamitr Pressure Valuation, Sahamitr Pressure Correlation, Sahamitr Pressure Hype Analysis, Sahamitr Pressure Volatility, Sahamitr Pressure History as well as Sahamitr Pressure Performance.
  
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Sahamitr Pressure Target Price Odds to finish below 9.15

The tendency of Sahamitr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.15  or more in 90 days
 9.20 90 days 9.15 
nearly 4.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sahamitr Pressure to drop to  9.15  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.8 (This Sahamitr Pressure Container probability density function shows the probability of Sahamitr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sahamitr Pressure price to stay between  9.15  and its current price of 9.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sahamitr Pressure has a beta of 0.0371. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sahamitr Pressure average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sahamitr Pressure Container will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sahamitr Pressure Container has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sahamitr Pressure Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sahamitr Pressure

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sahamitr Pressure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.429.209.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.589.3610.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.489.2510.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.929.389.83
Details

Sahamitr Pressure Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sahamitr Pressure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sahamitr Pressure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sahamitr Pressure Container, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sahamitr Pressure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Sahamitr Pressure Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sahamitr Pressure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sahamitr Pressure can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sahamitr Pressure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sahamitr Pressure Container has accumulated about 510.65 M in cash with (122.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95.
Roughly 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sahamitr Pressure Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sahamitr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sahamitr Pressure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sahamitr Pressure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding535.5 M

Sahamitr Pressure Technical Analysis

Sahamitr Pressure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sahamitr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sahamitr Pressure Container. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sahamitr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sahamitr Pressure Predictive Forecast Models

Sahamitr Pressure's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sahamitr Pressure's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sahamitr Pressure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sahamitr Pressure

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sahamitr Pressure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sahamitr Pressure help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sahamitr Pressure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sahamitr Pressure Container has accumulated about 510.65 M in cash with (122.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95.
Roughly 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sahamitr Stock

Sahamitr Pressure financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sahamitr Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sahamitr with respect to the benefits of owning Sahamitr Pressure security.