Senkron Guvenlik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.7

SNKRN Stock  TRY 50.70  0.40  0.80%   
Senkron Guvenlik's future price is the expected price of Senkron Guvenlik instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Senkron Guvenlik ve performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Senkron Guvenlik Backtesting, Senkron Guvenlik Valuation, Senkron Guvenlik Correlation, Senkron Guvenlik Hype Analysis, Senkron Guvenlik Volatility, Senkron Guvenlik History as well as Senkron Guvenlik Performance.
  
Please specify Senkron Guvenlik's target price for which you would like Senkron Guvenlik odds to be computed.

Senkron Guvenlik Target Price Odds to finish over 23.7

The tendency of Senkron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  23.70  in 90 days
 50.70 90 days 23.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Senkron Guvenlik to stay above  23.70  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Senkron Guvenlik ve probability density function shows the probability of Senkron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Senkron Guvenlik price to stay between  23.70  and its current price of 50.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Senkron Guvenlik ve has a beta of -0.3. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Senkron Guvenlik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Senkron Guvenlik ve is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Senkron Guvenlik ve has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Senkron Guvenlik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Senkron Guvenlik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senkron Guvenlik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.7750.7053.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.4842.4155.77
Details

Senkron Guvenlik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Senkron Guvenlik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Senkron Guvenlik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Senkron Guvenlik ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Senkron Guvenlik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Senkron Guvenlik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Senkron Guvenlik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Senkron Guvenlik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Senkron Guvenlik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Senkron Guvenlik ve has accumulated about 1.12 M in cash with (835.74 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.

Senkron Guvenlik Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Senkron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Senkron Guvenlik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Senkron Guvenlik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.8 M

Senkron Guvenlik Technical Analysis

Senkron Guvenlik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Senkron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Senkron Guvenlik ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Senkron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Senkron Guvenlik Predictive Forecast Models

Senkron Guvenlik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Senkron Guvenlik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Senkron Guvenlik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Senkron Guvenlik

Checking the ongoing alerts about Senkron Guvenlik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Senkron Guvenlik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Senkron Guvenlik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Senkron Guvenlik ve has accumulated about 1.12 M in cash with (835.74 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.

Other Information on Investing in Senkron Stock

Senkron Guvenlik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Senkron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Senkron with respect to the benefits of owning Senkron Guvenlik security.