Sonetel AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.16

SONE Stock  SEK 4.86  0.28  6.11%   
Sonetel AB's future price is the expected price of Sonetel AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sonetel AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sonetel AB Backtesting, Sonetel AB Valuation, Sonetel AB Correlation, Sonetel AB Hype Analysis, Sonetel AB Volatility, Sonetel AB History as well as Sonetel AB Performance.
  
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Sonetel AB Target Price Odds to finish below 0.16

The tendency of Sonetel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 0.16  or more in 90 days
 4.86 90 days 0.16 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sonetel AB to drop to kr 0.16  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sonetel AB probability density function shows the probability of Sonetel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sonetel AB price to stay between kr 0.16  and its current price of kr4.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sonetel AB has a beta of -0.92. This usually implies Additionally Sonetel AB has an alpha of 0.2054, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sonetel AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sonetel AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonetel AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.244.869.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.149.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.195.2710.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.894.475.05
Details

Sonetel AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sonetel AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sonetel AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sonetel AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sonetel AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Sonetel AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sonetel AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sonetel AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sonetel AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sonetel AB has accumulated 3.48 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 33.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sonetel AB has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sonetel AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sonetel AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sonetel AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sonetel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sonetel AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 21.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (156.94 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.97 M.
About 63.0% of Sonetel AB outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sonetel AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sonetel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sonetel AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sonetel AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments421.5 K

Sonetel AB Technical Analysis

Sonetel AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sonetel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sonetel AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sonetel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sonetel AB Predictive Forecast Models

Sonetel AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sonetel AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sonetel AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sonetel AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sonetel AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sonetel AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sonetel AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sonetel AB has accumulated 3.48 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 33.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sonetel AB has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sonetel AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sonetel AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sonetel AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sonetel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sonetel AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 21.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (156.94 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.97 M.
About 63.0% of Sonetel AB outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Sonetel Stock Analysis

When running Sonetel AB's price analysis, check to measure Sonetel AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sonetel AB is operating at the current time. Most of Sonetel AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sonetel AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sonetel AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sonetel AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.