S P (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 888.5

SPAL Stock   888.50  52.60  6.29%   
S P's future price is the expected price of S P instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of S P Apparels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out S P Backtesting, S P Valuation, S P Correlation, S P Hype Analysis, S P Volatility, S P History as well as S P Performance.
  
Please specify S P's target price for which you would like S P odds to be computed.

S P Target Price Odds to finish over 888.5

The tendency of SPAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 888.50 90 days 888.50 
about 64.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of S P to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.05 (This S P Apparels probability density function shows the probability of SPAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This usually implies S P Apparels market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, S P is expected to follow. Additionally S P Apparels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   S P Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for S P

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as S P Apparels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
886.26889.67893.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
725.16728.57977.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
900.39903.81907.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.674.835.07
Details

S P Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. S P is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the S P's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold S P Apparels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of S P within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.06
σ
Overall volatility
57.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

S P Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of S P for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for S P Apparels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S P Apparels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
S P Apparels is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SP Apparels Ltd. Sees Strong Stock Performance, Outperforms Sector and Market - MarketsMojo

S P Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPAL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential S P's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. S P's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

S P Technical Analysis

S P's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of S P Apparels. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

S P Predictive Forecast Models

S P's time-series forecasting models is one of many S P's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary S P's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about S P Apparels

Checking the ongoing alerts about S P for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for S P Apparels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S P Apparels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
S P Apparels is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SP Apparels Ltd. Sees Strong Stock Performance, Outperforms Sector and Market - MarketsMojo

Additional Tools for SPAL Stock Analysis

When running S P's price analysis, check to measure S P's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy S P is operating at the current time. Most of S P's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of S P's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move S P's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of S P to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.