Supalai Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.19
| SPALI-R Stock | THB 18.50 0.86 4.88% |
Supalai |
Supalai Public Target Price Odds to finish over 21.19
The tendency of Supalai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 21.19 or more in 90 days |
| 18.50 | 90 days | 21.19 | about 34.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Supalai Public to move over 21.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.4 (This Supalai Public probability density function shows the probability of Supalai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Supalai Public price to stay between its current price of 18.50 and 21.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Supalai Public has a beta of 0.0432. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Supalai Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Supalai Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Supalai Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Supalai Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Supalai Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supalai Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Supalai Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Supalai Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Supalai Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Supalai Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Supalai Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Supalai Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Supalai Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Supalai Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Supalai Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Supalai Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Supalai Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Supalai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Supalai Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supalai Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Supalai Public Technical Analysis
Supalai Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Supalai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Supalai Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Supalai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Supalai Public Predictive Forecast Models
Supalai Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Supalai Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Supalai Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Supalai Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Supalai Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Supalai Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Supalai Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Supalai Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Supalai Stock Analysis
When running Supalai Public's price analysis, check to measure Supalai Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supalai Public is operating at the current time. Most of Supalai Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supalai Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supalai Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supalai Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.