Shapir Engineering (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3,149

SPEN Stock  ILS 2,863  12.00  0.42%   
Shapir Engineering's future price is the expected price of Shapir Engineering instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shapir Engineering Industry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shapir Engineering Backtesting, Shapir Engineering Valuation, Shapir Engineering Correlation, Shapir Engineering Hype Analysis, Shapir Engineering Volatility, Shapir Engineering History as well as Shapir Engineering Performance.
  
Please specify Shapir Engineering's target price for which you would like Shapir Engineering odds to be computed.

Shapir Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 3,149

The tendency of Shapir Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,863 90 days 2,863 
about 6.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shapir Engineering to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.51 (This Shapir Engineering Industry probability density function shows the probability of Shapir Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shapir Engineering Industry has a beta of -0.39. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shapir Engineering are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shapir Engineering Industry is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shapir Engineering Industry has an alpha of 0.5204, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shapir Engineering Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shapir Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shapir Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8612,8632,865
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6362,6383,149
Details

Shapir Engineering Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shapir Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shapir Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shapir Engineering Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shapir Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
330.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Shapir Engineering Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shapir Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shapir Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shapir Engineering has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Shapir Engineering Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shapir Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shapir Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shapir Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding357.3 M

Shapir Engineering Technical Analysis

Shapir Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shapir Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shapir Engineering Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shapir Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shapir Engineering Predictive Forecast Models

Shapir Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shapir Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shapir Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shapir Engineering

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shapir Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shapir Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shapir Engineering has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Shapir Stock

Shapir Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shapir Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shapir with respect to the benefits of owning Shapir Engineering security.