Stadler Rail (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.86
| SRAIL Stock | CHF 20.05 0.05 0.25% |
Stadler |
Stadler Rail Target Price Odds to finish over 18.86
The tendency of Stadler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above ₣ 18.86 in 90 days |
| 20.05 | 90 days | 18.86 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stadler Rail to stay above ₣ 18.86 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Stadler Rail AG probability density function shows the probability of Stadler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stadler Rail AG price to stay between ₣ 18.86 and its current price of ₣20.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Stadler Rail has a beta of 0.0187. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stadler Rail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stadler Rail AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stadler Rail AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stadler Rail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stadler Rail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stadler Rail AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stadler Rail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stadler Rail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stadler Rail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stadler Rail AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stadler Rail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Stadler Rail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stadler Rail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stadler Rail AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stadler Rail AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Stadler Rail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stadler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stadler Rail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stadler Rail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Stadler Rail Technical Analysis
Stadler Rail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stadler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stadler Rail AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stadler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stadler Rail Predictive Forecast Models
Stadler Rail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stadler Rail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stadler Rail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stadler Rail AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stadler Rail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stadler Rail AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stadler Rail AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Stadler Stock Analysis
When running Stadler Rail's price analysis, check to measure Stadler Rail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stadler Rail is operating at the current time. Most of Stadler Rail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stadler Rail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stadler Rail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stadler Rail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.