Silver Bull Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| SVB Stock | CAD 0.12 0.01 7.69% |
Silver |
Silver Bull Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Silver Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.12 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silver Bull to drop to C$ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Silver Bull Resources probability density function shows the probability of Silver Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silver Bull Resources price to stay between C$ 0.01 and its current price of C$0.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Silver Bull Resources has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Silver Bull are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Silver Bull Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Silver Bull Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Silver Bull Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Silver Bull
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Bull Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Silver Bull Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silver Bull is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silver Bull's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silver Bull Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silver Bull within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Silver Bull Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silver Bull for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silver Bull Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Silver Bull generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silver Bull has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Silver Bull has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Silver Bull Resources has accumulated about 886.73 K in cash with (793.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Silver Bull Resources Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flo - GuruFocus.com |
Silver Bull Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silver Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silver Bull's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silver Bull's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 M |
Silver Bull Technical Analysis
Silver Bull's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silver Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silver Bull Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silver Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Silver Bull Predictive Forecast Models
Silver Bull's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silver Bull's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silver Bull's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Silver Bull Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Silver Bull for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silver Bull Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Silver Bull generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silver Bull has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Silver Bull has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Silver Bull Resources has accumulated about 886.73 K in cash with (793.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Silver Bull Resources Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flo - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Silver Stock
Silver Bull financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Bull security.