Tokyu Construction (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.33
| TCW Stock | EUR 4.26 0.08 1.91% |
Tokyu |
Tokyu Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 3.33
The tendency of Tokyu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.33 or more in 90 days |
| 4.26 | 90 days | 3.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyu Construction to drop to € 3.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tokyu Construction Co probability density function shows the probability of Tokyu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tokyu Construction price to stay between € 3.33 and its current price of €4.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyu Construction Co has a beta of -0.0166. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokyu Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tokyu Construction Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tokyu Construction Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tokyu Construction Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tokyu Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyu Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tokyu Construction Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyu Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyu Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyu Construction Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyu Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Tokyu Construction Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyu Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyu Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tokyu Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyu Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 258.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.72 B. | |
| About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tokyu Construction Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokyu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokyu Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokyu Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.7 M |
Tokyu Construction Technical Analysis
Tokyu Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyu Construction Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tokyu Construction Predictive Forecast Models
Tokyu Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyu Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokyu Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tokyu Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyu Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyu Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tokyu Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyu Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 258.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.72 B. | |
| About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tokyu Stock
Tokyu Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokyu with respect to the benefits of owning Tokyu Construction security.