VanEck IBoxx (Netherlands) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 13.34

TGBT Etf  EUR 12.49  0.05  0.40%   
VanEck IBoxx's future price is the expected price of VanEck IBoxx instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck iBoxx EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck IBoxx Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck IBoxx Correlation, VanEck IBoxx Hype Analysis, VanEck IBoxx Volatility, VanEck IBoxx History as well as VanEck IBoxx Performance.
  
Please specify VanEck IBoxx's target price for which you would like VanEck IBoxx odds to be computed.

VanEck IBoxx Target Price Odds to finish over 13.34

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 13.34  or more in 90 days
 12.49 90 days 13.34 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck IBoxx to move over € 13.34  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This VanEck iBoxx EUR probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck iBoxx EUR price to stay between its current price of € 12.49  and € 13.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VanEck IBoxx has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This usually implies the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and VanEck IBoxx do not appear to be related. Additionally It does not look like VanEck IBoxx's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   VanEck IBoxx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck IBoxx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck iBoxx EUR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2312.4912.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2212.4812.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1412.4012.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4812.5712.66
Details

VanEck IBoxx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck IBoxx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck IBoxx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck iBoxx EUR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck IBoxx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

VanEck IBoxx Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck IBoxx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck iBoxx EUR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 99.75% of its assets in bonds

VanEck IBoxx Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VanEck Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VanEck IBoxx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VanEck IBoxx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day19.83k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.7k

VanEck IBoxx Technical Analysis

VanEck IBoxx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck iBoxx EUR. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck IBoxx Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck IBoxx's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck IBoxx's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck IBoxx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VanEck iBoxx EUR

Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck IBoxx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck iBoxx EUR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 99.75% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in VanEck Etf

VanEck IBoxx financial ratios help investors to determine whether VanEck Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VanEck with respect to the benefits of owning VanEck IBoxx security.