Thomas Scott (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 400.32

THOMASCOTT   356.39  16.19  4.76%   
Thomas Scott's future price is the expected price of Thomas Scott instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thomas Scott Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thomas Scott Backtesting, Thomas Scott Valuation, Thomas Scott Correlation, Thomas Scott Hype Analysis, Thomas Scott Volatility, Thomas Scott History as well as Thomas Scott Performance.
  
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Thomas Scott Target Price Odds to finish below 400.32

The tendency of Thomas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  400.32  after 90 days
 356.39 90 days 400.32 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thomas Scott to stay under  400.32  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Thomas Scott Limited probability density function shows the probability of Thomas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thomas Scott Limited price to stay between its current price of  356.39  and  400.32  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thomas Scott has a beta of 0.67. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thomas Scott average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thomas Scott Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thomas Scott Limited has an alpha of 0.594, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thomas Scott Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thomas Scott

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thomas Scott Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
320.75365.50369.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
274.39277.98392.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
398.23401.82405.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
141.02240.71340.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thomas Scott. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thomas Scott's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thomas Scott's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thomas Scott Limited.

Thomas Scott Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thomas Scott is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thomas Scott's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thomas Scott Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thomas Scott within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
32.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Thomas Scott Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thomas Scott for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thomas Scott Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thomas Scott Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Thomas Scott Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Thomas Scott Limited has accumulated about 67.96 M in cash with (83.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Foundation Names Banking Veteran Thomas Shafer as New CEO, Awards 500K Stock Units FFWM Stock News - StockTitan

Thomas Scott Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thomas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thomas Scott's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thomas Scott's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments4.1 M

Thomas Scott Technical Analysis

Thomas Scott's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thomas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thomas Scott Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thomas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thomas Scott Predictive Forecast Models

Thomas Scott's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thomas Scott's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thomas Scott's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thomas Scott Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thomas Scott for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thomas Scott Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thomas Scott Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Thomas Scott Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Thomas Scott Limited has accumulated about 67.96 M in cash with (83.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Foundation Names Banking Veteran Thomas Shafer as New CEO, Awards 500K Stock Units FFWM Stock News - StockTitan

Other Information on Investing in Thomas Stock

Thomas Scott financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thomas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thomas with respect to the benefits of owning Thomas Scott security.