Thaire Life (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.88

THREL Stock  THB 1.59  0.01  0.63%   
Thaire Life's future price is the expected price of Thaire Life instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thaire Life Assurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thaire Life Backtesting, Thaire Life Valuation, Thaire Life Correlation, Thaire Life Hype Analysis, Thaire Life Volatility, Thaire Life History as well as Thaire Life Performance.
  
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Thaire Life Target Price Odds to finish over 1.88

The tendency of Thaire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.88  or more in 90 days
 1.59 90 days 1.88 
about 5.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thaire Life to move over  1.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.12 (This Thaire Life Assurance probability density function shows the probability of Thaire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thaire Life Assurance price to stay between its current price of  1.59  and  1.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thaire Life has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thaire Life average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thaire Life Assurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thaire Life Assurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thaire Life Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thaire Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thaire Life Assurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.371.602.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.302.53
Details

Thaire Life Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thaire Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thaire Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thaire Life Assurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thaire Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Thaire Life Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thaire Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thaire Life Assurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thaire Life generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thaire Life may become a speculative penny stock
The company has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Thaire Life until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Thaire Life's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Thaire Life Assurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Thaire to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Thaire Life's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thaire Life Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thaire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thaire Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thaire Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding600 M

Thaire Life Technical Analysis

Thaire Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thaire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thaire Life Assurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thaire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thaire Life Predictive Forecast Models

Thaire Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thaire Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thaire Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thaire Life Assurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thaire Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thaire Life Assurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thaire Life generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thaire Life may become a speculative penny stock
The company has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Thaire Life until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Thaire Life's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Thaire Life Assurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Thaire to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Thaire Life's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thaire Stock

Thaire Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thaire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thaire with respect to the benefits of owning Thaire Life security.