Trabzon Liman (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 94.91

TLMAN Stock  TRY 101.70  0.70  0.69%   
Trabzon Liman's future price is the expected price of Trabzon Liman instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trabzon Liman Backtesting, Trabzon Liman Valuation, Trabzon Liman Correlation, Trabzon Liman Hype Analysis, Trabzon Liman Volatility, Trabzon Liman History as well as Trabzon Liman Performance.
  
Please specify Trabzon Liman's target price for which you would like Trabzon Liman odds to be computed.

Trabzon Liman Target Price Odds to finish below 94.91

The tendency of Trabzon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  94.91  or more in 90 days
 101.70 90 days 94.91 
about 62.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trabzon Liman to drop to  94.91  or more in 90 days from now is about 62.88 (This Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi probability density function shows the probability of Trabzon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trabzon Liman Isletm price to stay between  94.91  and its current price of 101.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trabzon Liman has a beta of 0.47. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trabzon Liman average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi has an alpha of 0.003, implying that it can generate a 0.002984 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Trabzon Liman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trabzon Liman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trabzon Liman Isletm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.37101.00103.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.9193.54111.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.61106.24108.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.09102.70106.31
Details

Trabzon Liman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trabzon Liman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trabzon Liman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trabzon Liman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
5.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Trabzon Liman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trabzon Liman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trabzon Liman Isletm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trabzon Liman Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trabzon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trabzon Liman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trabzon Liman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares8.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day438.03k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month237.97k

Trabzon Liman Technical Analysis

Trabzon Liman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trabzon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trabzon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Trabzon Liman Predictive Forecast Models

Trabzon Liman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trabzon Liman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trabzon Liman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Trabzon Liman Isletm

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trabzon Liman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trabzon Liman Isletm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Trabzon Stock

Trabzon Liman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trabzon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trabzon with respect to the benefits of owning Trabzon Liman security.