Turner Emerging Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.96
| TMCGX Fund | USD 15.68 0.10 0.63% |
Turner |
Turner Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 11.96
The tendency of Turner Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.96 or more in 90 days |
| 15.68 | 90 days | 11.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turner Emerging to drop to $ 11.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Turner Emerging Growth probability density function shows the probability of Turner Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turner Emerging Growth price to stay between $ 11.96 and its current price of $15.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This usually implies Turner Emerging Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Turner Emerging is expected to follow. Additionally Turner Emerging Growth has an alpha of 0.053, implying that it can generate a 0.053 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Turner Emerging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Turner Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turner Emerging Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Turner Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turner Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turner Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turner Emerging Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turner Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Turner Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turner Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turner Emerging Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Turner Emerging Technical Analysis
Turner Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turner Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turner Emerging Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turner Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Turner Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Turner Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turner Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turner Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Turner Emerging Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Turner Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turner Emerging Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Turner Mutual Fund
Turner Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Turner Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Turner with respect to the benefits of owning Turner Emerging security.
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