Transkon Jaya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 184.95
| TRJA Stock | IDR 181.00 1.00 0.55% |
Transkon |
Transkon Jaya Target Price Odds to finish over 184.95
The tendency of Transkon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 184.95 or more in 90 days |
| 181.00 | 90 days | 184.95 | about 92.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transkon Jaya to move over 184.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.96 (This Transkon Jaya Pt probability density function shows the probability of Transkon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Transkon Jaya Pt price to stay between its current price of 181.00 and 184.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Transkon Jaya has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Transkon Jaya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Transkon Jaya Pt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Transkon Jaya Pt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Transkon Jaya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Transkon Jaya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transkon Jaya Pt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Transkon Jaya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transkon Jaya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transkon Jaya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transkon Jaya Pt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transkon Jaya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Transkon Jaya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transkon Jaya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transkon Jaya Pt can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transkon Jaya Pt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Transkon Jaya Pt has accumulated 118.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Transkon Jaya Pt has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Transkon Jaya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Transkon Jaya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Transkon Jaya Pt sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Transkon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Transkon Jaya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 70.0% of Transkon Jaya outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Transkon Jaya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transkon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transkon Jaya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transkon Jaya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.6 B |
Transkon Jaya Technical Analysis
Transkon Jaya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transkon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transkon Jaya Pt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transkon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Transkon Jaya Predictive Forecast Models
Transkon Jaya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transkon Jaya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transkon Jaya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Transkon Jaya Pt
Checking the ongoing alerts about Transkon Jaya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transkon Jaya Pt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Transkon Jaya Pt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Transkon Jaya Pt has accumulated 118.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Transkon Jaya Pt has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Transkon Jaya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Transkon Jaya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Transkon Jaya Pt sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Transkon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Transkon Jaya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 70.0% of Transkon Jaya outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Transkon Stock
Transkon Jaya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transkon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transkon with respect to the benefits of owning Transkon Jaya security.