Transkon Jaya (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| TRJA Stock | IDR 181.00 1.00 0.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Transkon Jaya hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Transkon Jaya Pt from the perspective of Transkon Jaya response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Transkon Jaya to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Transkon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Transkon Jaya after-hype prediction price | IDR 181.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Transkon |
Transkon Jaya After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Transkon Jaya at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Transkon Jaya or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Transkon Jaya, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Transkon Jaya Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Transkon Jaya's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Transkon Jaya's historical news coverage. Transkon Jaya's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 179.62 and 182.38, respectively. We have considered Transkon Jaya's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Transkon Jaya is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Transkon Jaya Pt is based on 3 months time horizon.
Transkon Jaya Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Transkon Jaya is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Transkon Jaya backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Transkon Jaya, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
181.00 | 181.00 | 0.00 |
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Transkon Jaya Hype Timeline
Transkon Jaya Pt is at this time traded for 181.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Transkon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Transkon Jaya is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 181.00. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 32.13. Transkon Jaya Pt last dividend was issued on the 11th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Transkon Jaya Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Transkon Jaya Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Transkon Jaya's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Transkon Jaya's future price movements. Getting to know how Transkon Jaya's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Transkon Jaya may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NELY | Pelayaran Nelly Dwi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.31 | (1.29) | 6.04 | |
| TRUK | Guna Timur Raya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.42 | (5.13) | 34.65 | |
| BPTR | Batavia Prosperindo Trans | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.30 | (2.41) | 9.66 | |
| TNCA | PT Trimuda Nuansa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 13.73 | (11.06) | 40.81 | |
| PPGL | Prima Globalindo Logistik | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.01 | 1.94 | (1.90) | 4.88 |
Transkon Jaya Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Transkon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Transkon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Transkon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Transkon Jaya Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Transkon Jaya stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Transkon Jaya Pt, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Transkon Jaya based on analysis of Transkon Jaya hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Transkon Jaya's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Transkon Jaya's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Transkon Jaya
The number of cover stories for Transkon Jaya depends on current market conditions and Transkon Jaya's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Transkon Jaya is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Transkon Jaya's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Transkon Jaya Short Properties
Transkon Jaya's future price predictability will typically decrease when Transkon Jaya's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Transkon Jaya Pt often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Transkon Jaya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transkon Jaya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in Transkon Stock
Transkon Jaya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transkon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transkon with respect to the benefits of owning Transkon Jaya security.