Travelzoo Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.39
| TZOO Stock | USD 19.50 0.08 0.41% |
Travelzoo |
Travelzoo Target Price Odds to finish below 5.39
The tendency of Travelzoo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.39 or more in 90 days |
| 19.50 | 90 days | 5.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Travelzoo to drop to $ 5.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Travelzoo probability density function shows the probability of Travelzoo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Travelzoo price to stay between $ 5.39 and its current price of $19.5 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Travelzoo has a beta of 0.64. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Travelzoo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Travelzoo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Travelzoo has an alpha of 0.7352, implying that it can generate a 0.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Travelzoo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Travelzoo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Travelzoo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Travelzoo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Travelzoo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Travelzoo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Travelzoo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Travelzoo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Travelzoo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Travelzoo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Travelzoo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Travelzoo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Travelzoo currently holds 9.25 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Travelzoo has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Travelzoo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of Travelzoo outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Travelzoo Rises .7 percent Since Q3 Earnings Time to Buy the Stock |
Travelzoo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Travelzoo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Travelzoo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Travelzoo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.7 M |
Travelzoo Technical Analysis
Travelzoo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Travelzoo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Travelzoo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Travelzoo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Travelzoo Predictive Forecast Models
Travelzoo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Travelzoo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Travelzoo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Travelzoo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Travelzoo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Travelzoo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Travelzoo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Travelzoo currently holds 9.25 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Travelzoo has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Travelzoo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of Travelzoo outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Travelzoo Rises .7 percent Since Q3 Earnings Time to Buy the Stock |
Check out Travelzoo Backtesting, Travelzoo Valuation, Travelzoo Correlation, Travelzoo Hype Analysis, Travelzoo Volatility, Travelzoo History as well as Travelzoo Performance. To learn how to invest in Travelzoo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Travelzoo guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Travelzoo. If investors know Travelzoo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Travelzoo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.635 | Earnings Share 1.02 | Revenue Per Share 6.439 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.2131 |
The market value of Travelzoo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Travelzoo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Travelzoo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Travelzoo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Travelzoo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Travelzoo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Travelzoo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travelzoo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travelzoo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.