Ufuk Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.96

UFUK Stock  TRY 611.00  1.00  0.16%   
Ufuk Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Ufuk Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ufuk Yatirim Backtesting, Ufuk Yatirim Valuation, Ufuk Yatirim Correlation, Ufuk Yatirim Hype Analysis, Ufuk Yatirim Volatility, Ufuk Yatirim History as well as Ufuk Yatirim Performance.
  
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Ufuk Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish over 49.96

The tendency of Ufuk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  49.96  in 90 days
 611.00 90 days 49.96 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ufuk Yatirim to stay above  49.96  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim probability density function shows the probability of Ufuk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim price to stay between  49.96  and its current price of 611.0 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ufuk Yatirim has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Ufuk Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim has an alpha of 0.2478, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ufuk Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ufuk Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
607.72611.00614.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
573.22576.50672.10
Details

Ufuk Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ufuk Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ufuk Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ufuk Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
59.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ufuk Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ufuk Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim has accumulated about 619.7 K in cash with (11.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Ufuk Yatirim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ufuk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ufuk Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ufuk Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.4 M

Ufuk Yatirim Technical Analysis

Ufuk Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ufuk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ufuk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ufuk Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Ufuk Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ufuk Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ufuk Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ufuk Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim has accumulated about 619.7 K in cash with (11.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Ufuk Stock Analysis

When running Ufuk Yatirim's price analysis, check to measure Ufuk Yatirim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ufuk Yatirim is operating at the current time. Most of Ufuk Yatirim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ufuk Yatirim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ufuk Yatirim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ufuk Yatirim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.